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EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/CAD, USD/JPY Forecasts – U.S. Dollar Pulls Back As JOLTs Job Openings Miss Expectations

By:
Vladimir Zernov
Published: Sep 4, 2024, 16:30 GMT+00:00

Key Points:

  • EUR/USD gained ground, supported by U.S. job market data.
  • USD/CAD pulled back as BoC cut the interest rate from 4.50% to 4.25%.
  • USD/JPY moved towards the 144.00 level as traders focused on falling Treasury yields.
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In this article:

U.S. Dollar

DXY
DXY 040924 4h Chart

U.S. Dollar Index pulled back as JOLTs Job Openings report missed analyst expectations. The report indicated that JOLTs Job Openings declined from 7.91 million in June to 7.67 million in July, compared to analyst forecast of 8.1 million. Today, traders also took a look at the Factory Orders data for July. The report showed that Factory Orders increased by 5% month-over-month, compared to analyst consensus of 4.7%. This report did not provide support to the American currency as traders focused on job market data.

In case U.S. Dollar Index settles below the 50 MA at 101.25, it will move towards the nearest support level at 100.80 – 101.00.

EUR/USD

EUR/USD
EUR/USD 040924 4h Chart

EUR/USD gains ground as traders react to the final reading of the Euro Area Services PMI report, which indicated that Services PMI increased from 51.9 in July to 52.9 in August.

The nearest resistance level for EUR/USD is located in the 1.1110 – 1.1135 range. A move above the 1.1135 level will open the way to the test of the next resistance level at 1.1250 – 1.1275.

GBP/USD

GBP/USD
GBP/USD 040924 4h Chart

GBP/USD gains ground, supported by the better-than-expected UK Services PMI report. The report showed that UK Services PMI increased from 52.5 in July to 53.7 in August, compared to analyst consensus of 53.3.

If GBP/USD climbs above the 50 MA at 1.3170, it will head towards the resistance at 1.3280 – 1.3300.

USD/CAD

USD/CAD
USD/CAD 040924 4h Chart

USD/CAD pulls back as traders react to the BoC Interest Rate Decision. Canada’s central bank cut the rate from 4.5% to 4.25%, in line with analyst expectations.

A successful test of the support at 1.3480 – 1.3500 will push USD/CAD towards the next support level at 1.3360 – 1.3380.

USD/JPY

USD/JPY
USD/JPY 040924 4h Chart

USD/JPY tests new lows as traders focus on the pullback in Treasury yields. The yield of 2-year Treasuries declined below the 3.80% level, while the yield of 10-year Treasuries has also settled below 3.80%.

In case USD/JPY settles below the 144.00 level, it will continue to move towards the nearest support level, which is located in the 141.80 – 142.50 range.

For a look at all of today’s economic events, check out our economic calendar.

About the Author

In more than 15 years of trading in the financial markets, Vladimir dealt with a wide range of brokers and financial instruments. His career as a day-trader at a proprietary trading firm goes back to 2007. Later, Vladimir turned to longer time frames and became an independent trader and analyst managing his own portfolio. Using his experience, he helps traders find the best broker in his reviews.

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