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Silver (XAG) Forecast: Will Gold’s Record Surge Propel Silver Through $34.96?

By:
James Hyerczyk
Published: Oct 17, 2024, 12:05 GMT+00:00

Key Points:

  • Silver trades below the $32.96 resistance, but gold’s surge to a record high could spark a rally toward $34.35.
  • Traders eye a potential breakout in silver as gold's momentum boosts bullish sentiment in precious metals markets.
  • Economic uncertainty and expected Fed rate cuts set a favorable environment for silver's upward movement.
  • Analysts predict silver may outperform gold in 2024, making it an undervalued asset with strong rally potential.
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In this article:

Silver Poised for Potential Rally as Gold Hits Record High

Daily Silver (XAG/USD)

Silver prices remain relatively subdued, trading below the October 4 main top at $32.96. However, gold’s recent surge to an all-time high has put silver traders on high alert, watching for potential spillover effects that could propel silver towards its multi-year high of $34.35.

At 11:54 GMT, XAG/USD is trading $31.78, up $0.09 or +0.29%.

Silver Market Outlook

While gold has been making headlines with its record-breaking performance, silver has been consolidating below key resistance levels. The $32.96 mark serves as both a barrier and a potential springboard for silver prices. A breakthrough could trigger an acceleration in silver’s upward movement, potentially mimicking gold’s recent success.

Gold’s Influence on Silver

Daily Gold (XAU/USD)

Silver traders are closely monitoring gold’s price action, as the two precious metals often exhibit correlated movements. Gold’s ability to sustain its gains could provide the necessary momentum for silver to break out of its current range. This relationship between gold and silver is crucial for traders looking to capitalize on potential silver rallies.

Factors Supporting Precious Metals

Several key elements are contributing to the positive sentiment in precious metals markets:

  1. Expectations of further Fed rate cuts
  2. Ongoing geopolitical uncertainties
  3. The upcoming U.S. election adding another layer of market uncertainty

These factors have primarily benefited gold, but their impact is likely to extend to silver as well.

Silver Market Forecasts

At the London Bullion Market Association’s annual gathering, delegates predicted strong performance for both gold and silver. Ole Hansen, head of commodity strategy at Saxo Bank, noted that forecasts suggest silver may even outperform gold in the coming year. This optimistic outlook is drawing increased attention to silver as a potentially undervalued asset.

Economic Data and Its Impact on Silver

Traders are eyeing upcoming U.S. economic data, including retail sales, industrial production, and weekly jobless claims. Disappointing figures could boost precious metals across the board. Silver, with its dual role as both a precious and industrial metal, may see increased demand if economic uncertainty rises.

Market Forecast

The short-term outlook for silver appears cautiously bullish. While currently lagging behind gold’s impressive gains, silver shows promise for an upward move if it can break through key resistance levels. The potential for further rate cuts and ongoing global economic uncertainties create a favorable environment for precious metals, with silver positioned to potentially close the gap with gold’s performance. Traders should watch for any signs of silver following gold’s lead, particularly if it can sustain a move above the $32.96 level.

About the Author

James HyerczykProfits & Punchlines

Mr.Hyerczyk is a technical analyst, market researcher, educator and trader. Jim is an expert in the area of patterns, price and time analysis, Forex and stocks.

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