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U.S. Dollar Gains Ground Despite Weak Retail Sales Data: Analysis For EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/CAD, USD/JPY

By:
Vladimir Zernov
Published: Jun 17, 2025, 17:00 GMT+00:00

Key Points:

  • EUR/USD pulled back towards the 1.1500 level despite the better-than-expected Euro Area ZEW Economic Sentiment Index report.
  • USD/CAD moved higher as traders ignored the strong rally in the oil markets.
  • USD/JPY gained ground as BoJ left the interest rate unchanged.
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U.S. Dollar Is Moving Higher As Traders Focus On Middle East Tensions

DXY
DXY 170625 4h Chart

U.S. Dollar Index gains ground despite the disappointing Retail Sales report. The report indicated that Retail Sales declined by -0.9% month-over-month in May, compared to analyst forecast of -0.7%.

In case U.S. Dollar Index manages to settle above the 50 MA at 98.59, it will move towards the next resistance, which is located in the 99.00 – 99.20 range.

EUR/USD Is Heading Towards 1.1500

EUR/USD
EUR/USD 170625 4h Chart

EUR/USD pulls back as traders react to the Euro Area ZEW Economic Sentiment Index report. The report showed that Economic Sentiment increased from 11.6 in May to 35.3 in April, compared to analyst consensus of 23.5.

A move below the 50 MA at 1.1483 will push EUR/USD towards the nearest support level at 1.1410 – 1.1425.

GBP/USD Is Under Pressure

GBP/USD
GBP/USD 170625 4h Chart

GBP/USD is losing ground as demand for safe-haven dollar is rising amid tensions in the Middle East.

The nearest support level for GBP/USD is located in the 1.3420 – 1.3440 range. In case GBP/USD declines below the 1.3420 level, it will head towards the next support at 1.3260 – 1.3280.

USD/CAD Attempts To Climb Above 1.3600

USD/CAD
USD/CAD 170625 4h Chart

USD/CAD is trying to settle back above the 1.3600 level despite the strong rally in the oil markets. Other commodity-related currencies are also losing ground in today’s trading session.

If USD/CAD settles above 1.3600, it will head towards the next resistance level at 1.3650 – 1.3665.

USD/JPY Gains Ground After BoJ Decision

USD/JPY
USD/JPY 170625 4h Chart

USD/JPY moved higher as traders focused on BoJ Interest Rate Decision. The BoJ left the interest rate unchanged at 0.5%, in line with analyst forecast.

Currently, USD/JPY is trying to settle above the 145.00 level. In case this attempt is successful, USD/JPY will head towards the resistance at 147.50 – 148.00.

For a look at all of today’s economic events, check out our economic calendar.

About the Author

In more than 15 years of trading in the financial markets, Vladimir dealt with a wide range of brokers and financial instruments. His career as a day-trader at a proprietary trading firm goes back to 2007. Later, Vladimir turned to longer time frames and became an independent trader and analyst managing his own portfolio. Using his experience, he helps traders find the best broker in his reviews.

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