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Rare Outflow Signals Hit Eli Lilly Shares

By:
Lucas Downey
Published: Jun 6, 2025, 10:40 GMT+00:00

“Buy low, sell high” is a common investing mantra. It’s easy to understand, but often hard to execute because emotion gets in the way. When great stocks are sale, things are often bleak.

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But at MoneyFlows, we try to remove emotion and focus on data. Specifically, we believe in Big Money and outlier stocks.

Big Money is powerful, market-moving institutional investors. And outliers are high quality stocks with great fundamentals that receive outsized Big Money inflows.

Great Companies at Sale Prices

But no stock rises constantly. Even outliers are sold off sometimes. These are times to pounce.

Buying low on outliers with historical Big Money support means you’re getting great companies at sale prices. Let me show you what I mean.

Take Netflix, Inc. (NFLX), the streaming video leader. Its fundamentals are fantastic:

  • 3-year sales growth rate (+9.5%)
  • 3-year EPS rate (+24.8%)
  • 1-year EPS growth estimate (+21.4%)
  • Profit margin (+22.4%)

Source: FactSet

But since 2021, there have been some periods with heavy, sustained outflows:

A screenshot of a graph AI-generated content may be incorrect.

Based on the current price, buying at any of those outflow times would have produced a minimum 2x return.

Outlier Opportunities Right Now

The holy grail of investing is buying great companies on sale. And there are some outlier opportunities right now – chances to buy low.

For instance, global semiconductor firm Broadcom Inc., (AVGO) has a strong financial track record:

  • 3-year sales growth rate (+24.3%)
  • 3-year EPS rate (+12%)
  • 1-year EPS growth estimate (+18.2%)
  • Profit margin (+12%)

And it’s had Big Money outflows recently:

A screenshot of a graph AI-generated content may be incorrect.

We can see it with health care giant Eli Lilly and Company (LLY) too. Several rare outflow signals hit Eli Lilly shares:

A screenshot of a graph AI-generated content may be incorrect.

Despite the outflows, LLY has excellent financial metrics:

  • 3-year sales growth rate (+17.4%)
  • 3-year EPS rate (+32.9%)
  • 1-year EPS growth estimate (+36%)
  • Profit margin (+23.5%)

A final example of an outlier on sale is Ulta Beauty Inc. (ULTA), the huge beauty retailer. It recovered some after multiple selloffs over the last year:

A screenshot of a graph AI-generated content may be incorrect.

The fundamental picture is solid here too:

  • 3-year sales growth rate (+9.6%)
  • 3-year EPS rate (+13%)
  • 1-year EPS growth estimate (+10.6%)
  • Profit margin (+10.6%)

Taking advantage of outliers’ low points is how the big gains are made. With MoneyFlow data, you can see when Big Money is offloading shares.

And as I’ve shown you with NFLX, buying at those times can produce truly JUICY returns! Similar rises could be ahead for other outliers too.

Spot the Sold-Off Outliers

When Big Money sells outliers it’s often a near-term low point for the shares. And quite often, time will bring them better days.

With MoneyFlows, you can spot the sold-off outliers and historical Big Money action. So, when Big Money dumps great stocks, it could mean an attractive entry point for long-term growth.

If you are a Registered Investment Advisor (RIA) or a serious investor, take your investing to the next level and follow our free weekly MoneyFlows insights.

Disclosure: the author owns NFLX in personal and managed accounts and holds no positions in AVGO, LLY, or ULTA at the time of publication.

About the Author

Lucas Downeycontributor

Lucas is a well-versed equity investor and educator. He currently is co-founder of research and analytics firm, MAPsignals.com, which focuses on finding outlier stocks by following the Big Money.

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