The US dollar is trying to recover on Friday, as recent selling pressure has been strong, but at this point in time, it looks like the market is going to see a bit of recovery.
The euro has gone back and forth in the early hours of Friday as the 1.05 level continues to offer a significant resistance barrier. Ultimately, this is a market that I think given enough time probably has to deal with this and determine whether or not it holds, but as things stand right now, it looks like it very well could. Even if we break above the 1.05 level, I see a lot of resistance all the way to 1.06, so I’m still looking to fade this pair on signs of exhaustion.
The US dollar has stabilized against the Japanese yen just above the 200 day EMA. So that of course is a major indicator that people use to determine the trend. At this point, if we do bounce the 155 yen level is an area that I think a lot of people will look to as a potential barrier. If we do break down from here, the 152 yen level and the 151 yen level both could offer support.
The Australian dollar has rallied rather significantly against the US dollar, but it is starting to run into an area that could be major resistance. I’ll be watching the 0.6350 level closely as it is an area that has been important multiple times in the past and signs of exhaustion in that area will be what I’m jumping on. If we do blow through here and go straight up in the air, that’s fine.
Then we’ll start to see on any pullback whether or not the area holds as support and becomes worthy of market memory. Otherwise, I think you’ve got a lot of noise. We are getting there to a point where I’m very interested, but I want to see where the candlestick plays out.
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Christopher Lewis is an experienced trader that specializes in technical analysis and markets prediction. Chris has over 20 years of experience across a wide variety of markets and assets - currencies, indices, and commodities.