The SEC will hold a closed meeting on Thursday, March 6, as investors consider the upcoming White House Crypto Summit. Thursday’s closed meeting will give SEC Commissioners a forum to discuss ongoing legal enforcement actions. The SEC’s appeal strategy in the ongoing Ripple case could be a focal point amidst increased speculation about an appeal withdrawal.
SEC Acting Chair Mark Uyeda and Commissioner Hester Peirce give Republicans a 2:1 edge, supporting President Trump’s pro-crypto agenda. Under SEC rules, at least three Commissioners must be present for a quorum.
Since Acting Chair Mark Uyeda established the Crypto Task Force, the agency has reversed its approach toward crypto enforcement:
It remains unclear whether Trump’s plans for a Crypto Summit influenced the SEC’s enforcement priorities.
On Wednesday, March 5, Fox Business journalist Eleanor Terrett shared a list of attendees to the White House Crypto Summit, including:
Notably absent was Ripple CEO Brad Garlinghouse, despite President Trump’s inclusion of XRP in the US Crypto Strategic Reserve Asset. However, other sources suggest Brad Garlinghouse may still attend.
The White House’s inclusion of XRP as a Strategic Reserve Asset and Garlinghouse’s attendance at Friday’s Crypto Summit could add pressure on the SEC to drop its appeal, challenging the programmatic sales of XRP ruling.
On Wednesday, March 5, XRP advanced by 1.88%, following Tuesday’s 2.83% gain, closing at $2.5016. However, XRP trailed the broader market, which rose 3.35%, bringing the total crypto market cap to $2.92 trillion.
Uncertainty surrounding the SEC’s appeal strategy and XRP’s potential inclusion in the Crypto Reserve Asset kept the token’s gains modest.
Near-term XRP price trends hinge on three factors:
Read expert analysis on what could drive XRP to new highs here.
On March 5, the US ISM Services PMI eased recession fears, rising from 52.8 in January to 53.5 in February. Firms increased staffing levels on higher demand, with prices also rising, potentially tempering bets on a June Fed rate cut.
In contrast, the ADP jobs report showed a 77k increase in February, well below January’s 186k surge, suggesting a cooling labor market. A weaker job market may affect wage growth, dampening consumer spending and demand-driven inflationary pressures.
Bitcoin briefly dipped below $88K after the ADP report but rebounded to $90K as PMI data reassured investors.
Fed Rate Outlook: The contrasting reports left market bets on an H1 2025 Fed rate move relatively steady. According to the CME FedWatch Tool, the probability of a June Fed cut fell from 81.1% on March 4 to 78.4% on March 5. Fed rate cuts could lower borrowing costs, increasing demand for risk assets, including bitcoin (BTC).
Meanwhile, President Trump exempted certain automakers from the recent tariff hikes on Canada and Mexico. The exemption will reportedly be effective for one month, with Trump also receptive to exempting other goods from tariffs.
A softened tariff stance could help stabilize inflation and support a more dovish Fed policy, reducing uncertainty for risk assets.
On March 5, BTC rose 3.82%, adding to Tuesday’s 1.28% gain, closing at $90,639. Meanwhile, investor focus will return to the US economic calendar and tariff developments on Thursday, March 6.
Potential price scenarios:
Bearish: Trade tensions, weak US data, BTC-spot ETF outflows, and resistance to a US Crypto Strategic Reserve could drag BTC below $80K.
Bullish: Easing trade tensions, positive US data, ETF inflows, and lawmaker support for a US Crypto Strategic Reserve could drive BTC toward its record high of $109,312.
Several key factors could influence crypto market sentiment:
A potential SEC withdrawal from the Ripple appeal could be a major bullish catalyst for XRP and the broader market. Meanwhile, the White House’s approach to crypto regulation will be critical for influencing institutional investment.
Stay updated with our latest insights here.
TEST 30 He has written extensively for a broader audience and his current focus is on developments relating to the financial markets including, but not limited to currencies, commodities, alternative asset classes, and global equities.