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U.S. Dollar Dives As ADP Employment Change Report Misses Estimates: Analysis For EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/CAD, USD/JPY

By:
Vladimir Zernov
Published: Mar 5, 2025, 17:20 GMT+00:00

Key Points:

  • EUR/USD rallied above the 1.0750 level.
  • USD/CAD was mostly flat as traders focused on the potential tariff relief for Canada.
  • USD/JPY continued its attempts to settle below the support at 149.00 - 149.50.
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In this article:

U.S. Dollar Is Under Strong Pressure

DXY
DXY 050325 4h Chart

U.S. Dollar Index tests new lows as traders react to ADP Employment Change report. The report showed that private businesses added 77,000 jobs in February, compared to analyst forecast of 140,000.

Currently, U.S. Dollar Index is trying to settle below the support at 104.30 – 104.50. In case this attempt is successful, it will head towards the next support level at 103.20 – 103.40.

EUR/USD Tests Resistance At 1.0760 – 1.0775

EUR/USD
EUR/USD 050325 4h Chart

EUR/USD rallied despite the weaker-than-expected Euro Area Services PMI report. The report showed that Services PMI declined from 51.3 in January to 50.6 in February, compared to analyst forecast of 50.7.

If EUR/USD settles above the resistance at 1.0760 – 1.0715, it will move towards the next resistance level at 1.0920 – 1.0935.

GBP/USD Tests New Highs

GBP/USD
GBP/USD 050325 4h Chart

GBP/USD gained ground as UK Services PMI increased from 50.8 in January to 51.0 in February.

In case GBP/USD stays above the resistance at 1.2810 – 1.2830, it will head towards the next resistance at 1.2935 – 1.2950.

USD/CAD Is Flat As Traders Focus On Trade Wars

USD/CAD
USD/CAD 050325 4h Chart

USD/CAD is mostly flat despite the strong sell-off in the oil markets. A potential tariff relief for Canada provided some support to the Canadian dollar today. Other commodity-related currencies are gaining ground in today’s trading session.

In case USD/CAD declines below the support level at 1.4330 – 1.4350, it will head towards the next support level at 1.4150 – 1.4170.

USD/JPY Moved Below The 149.00 Level

USD/JPY
USD/JPY 050325 4h Chart

USD/JPY continues its attempts to settle below the support level at 149.00 – 149.50 as traders focus on general weakness of the American currency.

RSI is in the moderate territory, and there is plenty of room to gain momentum in case the right catalysts emerge. If USD/JPY stays below the 149.00 level, it will head towards the next support at 146.50 – 147.00.

For a look at all of today’s economic events, check out our economic calendar.

About the Author

In more than 15 years of trading in the financial markets, Vladimir dealt with a wide range of brokers and financial instruments. His career as a day-trader at a proprietary trading firm goes back to 2007. Later, Vladimir turned to longer time frames and became an independent trader and analyst managing his own portfolio. Using his experience, he helps traders find the best broker in his reviews.

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