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U.S. Dollar Tests Yearly Lows As Traders Prepare For Powell’s Successor: Analysis For EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/CAD, USD/JPY

By:
Vladimir Zernov
Published: Jun 26, 2025, 17:10 GMT+00:00

Key Points:

  • EUR/USD settled above the 1.1700 level as traders reacted to U.S. economic reports.
  • USD/CAD moved lower amid rising demand for commodity-related currencies.
  • USD/JPY pulled back amid falling Treasury yields.
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U.S. Dollar Tests New Lows As Traders Bet On Dovish Fed

DXY
DXY 260625 4h Chart

U.S. Dollar Index is under strong pressure as traders react to the final reading of the first-quarter GDP Growth Rate report. The report indicated that GDP Growth Rate was -0.5%, compared to analyst forecast of -0.2%. Traders also focus on reports indicating that Trump wants to name Powell’s successor by September or October.

The nearest support level for U.S. Dollar Index is located in the 96.70 – 96.90 range. A move below this level will push U.S. Dollar Index towards the next support at 95.40 – 95.60.

EUR/USD Tests New Highs As U.S. GDP Growth Rate Misses Estimates

EUR/USD
EUR/USD 260625 4h Chart

EUR/USD is moving higher despite the disappointing GfK Consumer Confidence report from Germany. The report showed that GfK Consumer Confidence decreased from -20.0 in June to -20.3 in July, compared to analyst consensus of -19.3.

In case EUR/USD stays above the resistance at 1.1675 – 1.1690, it will head towards the next resistance level at 1.1785 – 1.1800.

GBP/USD Tests Resistance At 1.3730 – 1.3750

GBP/USD
GBP/USD 260625 4h Chart

GBP/USD tests resistance at 1.3730 – 1.3750 as traders focus on U.S. economic data and bet on dovish Fed.

A move above the 1.3750 level will open the way to the test of the next resistance level, which is located in the 1.3815 – 1.3835 range.

USD/CAD Is Under Strong Pressure

USD/CAD
USD/CAD 260625 4h Chart

USD/CAD is under pressure as traders focus on the rebound in the oil markets and the rally in precious metals markets.

If USD/CAD settles below the support at 1.3645 – 1.3665, it will head towards the next support level at 1.3550 – 1.3565.

USD/JPY Is Losing Ground As Treasury Yields Fall

USD/JPY
USD/JPY 260625 4h Chart

USD/JPY attempts to settle below the support level at 143.50 – 144.00 as traders focus on falling Treasury yields.

If USD/JPY manages to settle below the 143.50 level, it will head towards the next support at 140.00 – 140.50.

For a look at all of today’s economic events, check out our economic calendar.

About the Author

In more than 15 years of trading in the financial markets, Vladimir dealt with a wide range of brokers and financial instruments. His career as a day-trader at a proprietary trading firm goes back to 2007. Later, Vladimir turned to longer time frames and became an independent trader and analyst managing his own portfolio. Using his experience, he helps traders find the best broker in his reviews.

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